Closing the gap between wages and the rising cost of living

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The Growing Divide Between Wages and Living Costs in Nigeria

Nigeria is currently facing a severe economic and social crisis, marked by an ever-widening gap between wages and the cost of living. This disparity highlights deep-seated structural issues such as high inflation, currency depreciation, unemployment, and poor governance, which are eroding the welfare of ordinary citizens. Despite being rich in natural and human resources, many Nigerians struggle to meet their basic needs, including food, shelter, healthcare, and education.

Stakeholders argue that unless there are deliberate efforts to align wages with the rising cost of living and to strengthen the productive base of the economy, the majority of Nigerians will continue to face poverty and insecurity. According to the 2025 World Bank report, approximately 62% of the Nigerian population—about 139 million people—lives in poverty. While this figure has seen a slight decline in extreme poverty rates, it remains a significant challenge.

The World Poverty Index indicates that the poverty rate increased from 40.1% in 2019. The report attributes this rise to factors such as high food inflation, unemployment, insecurity, and economic instability. Additionally, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) shows that inflationary pressures driven by fuel subsidy removal, exchange rate liberalisation, and global price shocks have significantly reduced the real value of wages since 2019. Although salaries have risen nominally, they have not kept pace with the rapid increase in living costs, leaving most households struggling to afford basic needs.

Experts suggest that bridging this gap requires political will, sound economic management, and inclusive policies that prioritise human welfare over short-term fiscal targets. Only then can Nigeria move toward a future where hard work is adequately rewarded and national prosperity translates into improved living standards for all.

How We Got Here

A political economist and lecturer at Legacy University in Anambra State, Dr. Vincent Ezeme, explains that the wage-cost gap in Nigeria did not emerge overnight. Since independence in 1960, the country has experienced alternating periods of economic growth and decline, often tied to the global price of crude oil, Nigeria’s primary export and main source of foreign exchange.

During the oil boom of the 1970s, government revenues and public sector salaries saw a temporary increase. However, when global oil prices crashed in the 1980s, the economy spiralled into crisis, leading to the adoption of the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) under the IMF and World Bank. These policies, which included currency devaluation, subsidy removal, and economic liberalisation, were associated with severe inflation that reduced real purchasing power.

Since then, Nigeria’s economy has remained vulnerable to external shocks, while real wages have stagnated. The return of democratic governance in 1999 brought hopes for reform, but recurring issues such as corruption, poor economic planning, and policy inconsistency have perpetuated income inequality and hindered sustainable wage growth.

At the heart of this issue is Nigeria’s national minimum wage, which has consistently been low and far below the inflationary rate or true cost of living. The most recent minimum wage adjustment occurred in July 2024, when President Bola Tinubu approved an increase from N30,000 to N70,000. However, the Nigeria Labour Congress stated that this amount was still far below reality.

Private sector businesses have largely failed to match this increase, and implementation across states has been gradual, with some yet to adopt the new minimum wage. While several states have pledged to meet the N70,000 minimum wage, others have committed to paying higher amounts. For example, Lagos State announced a minimum wage of N85,000 in October 2024, citing the high cost of living in the state.

Inflation and the Increased Cost of Living

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) identifies inflation as one of the biggest drivers of the cost-of-living crisis. Nigeria’s inflation rate has remained in double digits for most of the past decade, reaching over 30% in 2024. Key contributors include food inflation, fuel price hikes, currency depreciation, and insecurity that disrupts agricultural production.

Food prices have been particularly volatile, with staples like rice, beans, yams, and maize increasing by over 200% since 2020. The removal of fuel subsidies in 2023 further escalated transportation costs, cascading into higher prices for goods and services nationwide. Rent and electricity tariffs have also surged, mounting pressure on household budgets.

While wages have remained largely stagnant, the cost-of-living index has risen sharply, effectively diminishing purchasing power. In real terms, the income of an average Nigerian worker today is substantially lower than it was a decade ago, even if nominal wages may appear higher.

Recommendations

Bridging the widening gap between wages and living costs in Nigeria requires urgent, coordinated action. A political analyst, Chukwuemeka Okafor, suggests that beyond wage adjustments, a comprehensive approach is needed to tackle inflation, enhance productivity, and ensure social protection for vulnerable groups.

Policymakers must prioritise economic stability, job creation, and the equitable distribution of resources to restore citizens’ purchasing power and dignity. Sustainable solutions lie in strengthening domestic production, improving governance, and implementing people-centred reforms.

Only through deliberate and inclusive economic management can Nigeria create an environment where workers earn fair wages, households can meet basic needs, and national prosperity translates into shared well-being.


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